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RECAP: WHO WILL WIN?
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RECAP: WHO WILL WIN?

Is Ethereum Ready to Steal Bitcoin's Crown?

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InvestAnswers
Jun 08, 2023
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NUGGETS OF ALPHA

  • Ethereum generates 513.7% higher transaction fees than Bitcoin

  • The Lindy effect favors BTC over ETH

  • ETH & ETH L2’s aggregate daily active users are greater than BTC

  • If ETH were valued at a P/E of 100 it would exceed the current BTC market cap

  • BTC and ETH are both ~62% off of their all-time highs

  • ETH has become deflationary after completing “the merge”

  • ETH staking rewards are generating between 6.9-7.6% yield

  • ETH is a Turing-complete platform that can create smart contracts

  • ETH is designed to be scalable; BTC is limited in its scalability

  • ETH has its own Virtual Machine so developers can create dApps; BTC does not

  • ETH has a large community of developers; BTC’s development is not as active

  • Solona is currently at ~26M daily transactions, 25x more than ETH


A Twitter user posted a chart that forecasts Bitcoin and Ethereum market dominance by late 2025. The chart shows that Ethereum's market capitalization could surpass Bitcoin's due to Ethereum's accelerated growth.

Since I entered my position in Ethereum in March 2020, ETH has done a 9x while BTC experienced a 3x in performance. Ethereum has been a faster horse, but will it continue to be in this next cycle?

Let’s dig in and look at the long-term trends to see where this could go.


This is a visual of the market cap of these two assets as of today.


Here is a chart comparing the BTC to ETH market cap which demonstrates where they have come from to help us project where they can go. In 2018, this pair shared a ratio of 9.2, and it has been coming down ever since. Presently at 2.32, with its lowest point reaching ~2.0.


Ethereum today generates 513.7% higher transaction fees than Bitcoin. From this perspective, ETH has already flipped Bitcoin.


Currently, the number of active addresses per week sits at 53% in favor of BTC.


BTC and ETH are matched in this category. However, there will be a day when ETH will start moving faster and tweeted a lot more.


The Lindy effect favors Bitcoin in this metric, the oldest and most well-known brand in the space.


The total BTC unique addresses are ~1.14B. However, I know individuals who have over 20 addresses that they manage.


The total ETH unique addresses are ~234M.


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