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RECAP: NEXT ₿TC CATALYST
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RECAP: NEXT ₿TC CATALYST

OCTA: The Next Bitcoin Catalyst Igniting the Crypto World

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InvestAnswers
May 16, 2023
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NUGGETS OF ALPHA

  • Most altcoins outperformed Bitcoin this last week

  • The next Bitcoin catalyst is for the realized price to get above the long-term holders’ realized price

  • In May every cohort has been selling BTC

  • BTC addresses holding 100+ coins reached a 2-year high of 16,250

  • The Bitcoin Exchange Net Flow reached a 5-month low of -1,066.660 BTC

  • Bitcoin is up ~32% over the last 90 days and the QQQ is up ~7%

  • SOL is the best ratio in crypto

  • Top 7 companies in the S&P 500 have pulled in all of the returns this year

  • NVIDIA shares have surged 101% in 2023 to a recent $295

  • The Tesla Model Y is now cheaper than your average car in the US

  • Elon drives FSD daily and receives only one safety intervention every few days

  • The European economy forecasts are a lot better than most experts expected

  • Overall, bad week for crypto as everyone is nervous about the debt ceiling

  • MATIC is getting eaten alive by other L2s on the Ethereum chain

  • Digital asset investment products saw a fourth consecutive week of outflows totaling US$54M

  • $38M outflows from Bitcoin, bringing the total outflows for the past four weeks to $160M

  • Fake Trezor wallets have been circulating in the market - only buy direct from the official source


The Fear & Greed index has begun trending back up, which is positive.


The Altcoin Season Index still indicates a reading of 4 in Bitcoin season…


However, when we look at market performance, everything beat Bitcoin this last week. The Bitcoin dominance mapper has reached 45.73%, so something is wrong with the Altcoin Season Index.


This chart demonstrates that we are under a price equilibrium of ~$42K. We are less than 11 months from the Bitcoin halving, and everyone knows where we are in this cycle. The new estimate for the halving is April 11, 2024.

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