Todayβs Nuggets
The Long-term Realized Cap Impulse
Miners Dumping Again
Generals Back Bitcoin Shield
MSTR Recursive Loop
The Perfect Reinvention of the Bond Market
Swiss Central Bank Still Stacking
The Starbucks of Spain BTC Treasury
Russian Billionaires About to Dive into Bitcoin
California has Confiscation Plans
Many aspects of this market are uncertain, and in this story, I will attempt to gauge our current position by examining the data. No emotions, just data.
Let us get into the story called the Blow-off Top.
Everybody is asking, where are we going this year?
Where? It is a good time to check in with Kalshi. The last time I shared the Kalshi report was about a month ago. The price target was $145,000, and it has now been reduced to $134,000.
Thus, it has come down a bit.
This slide inspired today's story from Alphractal.
This is a new crypto Bitcoin on-chain analyst firm, and they have some very interesting pieces of information that are a bit different.
This illustrates what some people have been discussing, such as Jordy Visser and others. A large swelling of short positions is at this $113,000 level, precisely where we are inching toward.
If Bitcoin does get to this level and there is a huge buildup of leverage bets against Bitcoin, this
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